Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.841695 5.673172 6.563677 7.583887 8.715836 9.928839 11.322454
2025-11-23 3.601594 4.710677 5.990484 7.557970 9.407119 11.500597 14.030647
2025-11-30 2.936467 4.244078 5.855654 7.943667 10.531811 13.589706 17.428516
2025-12-07 2.305290 3.686206 5.502121 7.983084 11.199791 15.145940 20.263996
2025-12-14 1.703243 3.039720 4.921695 7.634685 11.310162 15.982738 22.228541
2025-12-21 1.273189 2.541865 4.453616 7.353501 11.443629 16.811364 24.177766
2025-12-28 1.100998 2.402561 4.469086 7.724685 12.452103 18.797194 27.665469
2026-01-04 0.988622 2.337181 4.578982 8.226701 13.653768 21.073534 31.598523
2026-01-11 0.879529 2.253245 4.642143 8.651048 14.752731 23.238017 35.438134
2026-01-18 0.729901 2.058563 4.493848 8.726179 15.332856 24.693211 38.349716
2026-01-25 0.566439 1.793489 4.184974 8.508987 15.450058 25.485456 40.358568
2026-02-01 0.443945 1.581595 3.937226 8.360128 15.647090 26.379879 42.514179
2026-02-08 0.346275 1.400969 3.726899 8.263045 15.930444 27.428449 44.949955
2026-02-15 0.268735 1.244156 3.538134 8.182696 16.229746 28.505029 47.451910
2026-02-22 0.238738 1.212641 3.603154 8.561878 17.289207 30.745810 51.682177
2026-03-01 0.190060 1.103631 3.484106 8.587528 17.760326 32.106149 54.660883
2026-03-08 0.130443 0.923427 3.171281 8.211481 17.527666 32.371831 56.029565
2026-03-15 0.088965 0.779887 2.913229 7.910381 17.395938 32.775841 57.597798
2026-03-22 0.079542 0.771797 2.993688 8.299369 18.487124 35.129288 62.132367
2026-03-29 0.075200 0.787086 3.137207 8.826878 19.841454 37.929176 67.388151
2026-04-05 0.068655 0.787340 3.239779 9.272775 21.062195 40.539346 72.397467
2026-04-12 0.053876 0.729627 3.173184 9.351396 21.618444 42.091362 75.819552
2026-04-19 0.036326 0.632676 2.974245 9.122631 21.596811 42.700552 77.801929